TY - JOUR
T1 - A behavioral hybrid New Keynesian model: Quantifying the importance of belief formation frictions
AU - Afsar, Atahan
AU - Gallegos, José-Elías
AU - Jaimes, Richard
AU - Silgado-Gómez, Edgar
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2023 Elsevier B.V.
PY - 2024/3
Y1 - 2024/3
N2 - Recent evidence points towards significant belief formation frictions and forecast sluggishness. In this paper, we build a bounded rationality New Keynesian model, estimated to match the degree of forecast sluggishness present in the data. We find that bounded rationality induces enough myopia and intrinsic persistence, diminishing the influence of consumption habits and price indexation. Additionally, the bounded rationality model generates impulse response dynamics to monetary policy shocks that resemble those observed in empirical estimations. This study highlights the significance of bounded rationality in capturing real-world dynamics and provides valuable insights into the role of belief formation frictions in macroeconomic modeling.
AB - Recent evidence points towards significant belief formation frictions and forecast sluggishness. In this paper, we build a bounded rationality New Keynesian model, estimated to match the degree of forecast sluggishness present in the data. We find that bounded rationality induces enough myopia and intrinsic persistence, diminishing the influence of consumption habits and price indexation. Additionally, the bounded rationality model generates impulse response dynamics to monetary policy shocks that resemble those observed in empirical estimations. This study highlights the significance of bounded rationality in capturing real-world dynamics and provides valuable insights into the role of belief formation frictions in macroeconomic modeling.
KW - Bayesian estimation
KW - Bounded rationality
KW - New Keynesian
UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2023.106626
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85182911466&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.econmod.2023.106626
DO - 10.1016/j.econmod.2023.106626
M3 - Article
VL - 132
JO - Economic Modelling
JF - Economic Modelling
M1 - 106626
ER -