TY - JOUR
T1 - A paradox of traffic and extra cars in a city as a collective behaviour
AU - Prieto Curiel, Rafael
AU - González Ramírez, Humberto
AU - Quiñones Domínguez, Mauricio
AU - Orjuela Mendoza, Juan Pablo
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2021 The Authors.
PY - 2021/6/23
Y1 - 2021/6/23
N2 - Promoting walking or cycling and reducing cars' use is one of the city planners' main targets, contributing to a sustainable transport method. Yet, the number of vehicles worldwide is increasing as fast as the population, and motorized mobility has become the primary transport method in most cities. Here, we consider modal share as an emergent behaviour of personal decisions. All individuals minimize their commuting time and reach an equilibrium under which no person is willing to change their transportation mode. In terms of the minimum travel time, the best-case scenario is used to determine the extra commuting time and the excess cars, computed as a social inefficiency. Results show that commuting times could increase up to 25% with many more vehicles than optimum. Paradoxically, all individuals trying to minimize their time could collectively reach the maximum commuting times in the extreme case, with all individuals driving during rush hour.
AB - Promoting walking or cycling and reducing cars' use is one of the city planners' main targets, contributing to a sustainable transport method. Yet, the number of vehicles worldwide is increasing as fast as the population, and motorized mobility has become the primary transport method in most cities. Here, we consider modal share as an emergent behaviour of personal decisions. All individuals minimize their commuting time and reach an equilibrium under which no person is willing to change their transportation mode. In terms of the minimum travel time, the best-case scenario is used to determine the extra commuting time and the excess cars, computed as a social inefficiency. Results show that commuting times could increase up to 25% with many more vehicles than optimum. Paradoxically, all individuals trying to minimize their time could collectively reach the maximum commuting times in the extreme case, with all individuals driving during rush hour.
KW - cars
KW - social costs
KW - sustainable mobility
KW - traffic
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85111064361&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1098/rsos.201808
DO - 10.1098/rsos.201808
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85111064361
SN - 2054-5703
VL - 8
JO - Royal Society Open Science
JF - Royal Society Open Science
IS - 6
M1 - 201808
ER -