Skip to main navigation Skip to search Skip to main content

Theory of and within foresight - "What does a theory of foresight even mean?"

  • Technical University of Denmark
  • Lappeenranta-Lahti University of Technology

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

70 Scopus citations

Abstract

There has been an argument for a while now that foresight lacks a coherent theoretical basis. The discussion on the theory of foresight calls for a theory, but rarely expounds on what the scope of theorizing is. The discussion has been centered on philosophy and different frameworks for theorizing, but the scope and form of theorizing have not been explored. We contribute to this discussion by examining foresight through the lens of established theory building literature to map what constitutes a theory in the first place and how it applies in foresight. The main guiding question is "What does a theory of foresight mean?". We fist draw on the literature on theory development in social sciences to discuss a framework for theorizing and then examine the scope of theorizing through it. Our main argument is that when we propose developing (a) theory of foresight, we need to separate three levels of analysis: one is foresight as knowledge creating activity, second is foresight as a process and as a social/organizational intervention, and foresight as theorizing about the future of a given socio-technical system.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)191-201
Number of pages11
JournalTechnological Forecasting and Social Change
Volume96
DOIs
StatePublished - 01 Jul 2015

Keywords

  • Epistemology
  • Foresight
  • Theorizing
  • Theory development

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Theory of and within foresight - "What does a theory of foresight even mean?"'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this