GLOBAL and REGIONAL RISKS in CURRENCY RETURNS

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Abstract

This paper presents an asset-pricing model for an integrated financial economy in a multi-currency framework in which three risk dimensions drive asset prices: global risk, regional risk and country-specific risk. Under this framework, all risks are common since, by trading assets across countries, agents can load on foreign risk. However, the model's solution imposes restrictions on the loading coefficients. As a result, only the dispersion in global and regional coefficients is needed to explain currency returns. The model is tested with a linear-factor model at the currency-pair level using a sample of 42 countries located in five different regions. It is shown that, as the model predicted, regional and global factors help explain the dispersion in currency returns.

Original languageEnglish
Article number1950046
JournalInternational Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance
Volume22
Issue number8
DOIs
StatePublished - 01 Dec 2019

Keywords

  • Foreign exchange
  • asset pricing
  • factor model

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