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Global and national burden of diseases and injuries among children and adolescents between 1990 and 2013 findings from the global burden of disease 2013 study

  • Theo Vos
  • , Hmwe H. Kyu
  • , Christine Pinho
  • , Joseph A. Wagner
  • , Jonathan C. Brown
  • , Amelia Bertozzi-Villa
  • , Fiona J. Charlson
  • , Luc Edgar Coffeng
  • , Lalit Dandona
  • , Holly E. Erskine
  • , Alize J. Ferrari
  • , Christina Fitzmaurice
  • , Thomas D. Fleming
  • , Mohammad H. Forouzanfar
  • , Nicholas Graetz
  • , Caterina Guinovart
  • , Juanita Haagsma
  • , Hideki Higashi
  • , Nicholas J. Kassebaum
  • , Heidi J. Larson
  • Stephen S. Lim, Ali H. Mokdad, Maziar Moradi-Lakeh, Shaun V. Odell, Gregory A. Roth, Peter T. Serina, Jeffrey D. Stanaway, Awoke Misganaw, Harvey A. Whiteford, Timothy M. Wolock, Sarah Wulf Hanson, Foad Abd-Allah, Semaw Ferede Abera, Laith J. Abu-Raddad, Fadia S. Al Buhairan, Azmeraw T. Amare, Carl Abelardo T. Antonio, Al Artaman, Suzanne L. Barker-Collo, Lope H. Barrero, Corina Benjet, Isabela M. Bensenor, Zulfiqar A. Bhutta, Boris Bikbov, Alexandra Brazinova, Ismael Campos-Nonato, Carlos A. Castañeda-Orjuela, Ferrán Catalá-López, Rajiv Chowdhury, Cyrus Cooper, John A. Crump, Rakhi Dandona, Louisa Degenhardt, Robert P. Dellavalle, Samath D. Dharmaratne, Emerito Jose A. Faraon, Valery L. Feigin, Thomas Fürst, Johanna M. Geleijnse, Bradford D. Gessner, Katherine B. Gibney, Atsushi Goto, David Gunnell, Graeme J. Hankey, Roderick J. Hay, John C. Hornberger, H. Dean Hosgood, Guoqing Hu, Kathryn H. Jacobsen, Sudha P. Jayaraman, Panniyammakal Jeemon, Jost B. Jonas, André Karch, Daniel Kim, Sungroul Kim, Yoshihiro Kokubo, Barthelemy Kuate Defo, Burcu Kucuk Bicer, G. Anil Kumar, Anders Larsson, Janet L. Leasher, Ricky Leung, Yongmei Li, Steven E. Lipshultz, Alan D. Lopez, Paulo A. Lotufo, Raimundas Lunevicius, Ronan A. Lyons, Marek Majdan, Reza Malekzadeh, Taufiq Mashal, Amanda J. Mason-Jones, Yohannes Adama Melaku, Ziad A. Memish, Walter Mendoza, Ted R. Miller, Charles N. Mock, Joseph Murray, Sandra Nolte, In Hwan Oh, Bolajoko Olubukunola Olusanya, Katrina F. Ortblad, Eun Kee Park, Angel J.Paternina Caicedo, Scott B. Patten, George C. Patton, David M. Pereira, Norberto Perico, Frédéric B. Piel, Suzanne Polinder, Svetlana Popova, Farshad Pourmalek, D. Alex Quistberg, Giuseppe Remuzzi, Alina Rodriguez, David Rojas-Rueda, Dietrich Rothenbacher, David H. Rothstein, Juan Sanabria, Itamar S. Santos, David C. Schwebel, Sadaf G. Sepanlou, Amira Shaheen, Rahman Shiri, Ivy Shiue, Vegard Skirbekk, Karen Sliwa, Chandrashekhar T. Sreeramareddy, Dan J. Stein, Timothy J. Steiner, Lars Jacob Stovner, Bryan L. Sykes, Karen M. Tabb, Abdullah Sulieman Terkawi, Alan J. Thomson, Andrew L. Thorne-Lyman, Jeffrey Allen Towbin, Kingsley Nnanna Ukwaja, Tommi Vasankari, Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian, Vasiliy Victorovich Vlassov, Stein Emil Vollset, Elisabete Weiderpass, Robert G. Weintraub, Andrea Werdecker, James D. Wilkinson, Solomon Meseret Woldeyohannes, Charles D.A. Wolfe, Yuichiro Yano, Paul Yip, Naohiro Yonemoto, Seok Jun Yoon, Mustafa Z. Younis, Chuanhua Yu, Maysaa El Sayed Zaki, Mohsen Naghavi, Christopher J.L. Murray
  • University of Washington
  • University of Queensland
  • Queensland Centre for Mental Health Research
  • Erasmus University Rotterdam
  • Public Health Foundation of India
  • Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center
  • Seattle Children's Hospital
  • London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
  • Iran University of Medical Sciences
  • Intermountain Healthcare
  • Cairo University
  • Kilte Awlaelo-Health and Demographic Surveillance Site
  • Mekelle University
  • Weill Cornell Medical College in Qatar
  • King Saud bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences
  • University of the Philippines
  • The University of Auckland
  • Instituto Nacional de Psiquiatria Ramon de la Fuente
  • Universidade de São Paulo
  • Aga Khan University
  • University of Toronto
  • A.I. Yevdokimov Moscow State University of Medicine and Dentistry
  • Academician V I Shumakov Federal Research Center of Transplantology and Artificial Organs
  • International Neurotrama Research Organization
  • Trnava University
  • Instituto Nacional de Salud Publica
  • Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health
  • Instituto Nacional de Salud
  • Universidad Nacional de Colombia
  • University of Ottawa
  • University of Valencia
  • University of Cambridge
  • University of Southampton
  • University of Oxford
  • Dunedin School of Medicine
  • National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre
  • University of Colorado School of Medicine
  • Faculty of Medicine, University of Peradeniya
  • Department of Health Manila
  • National Institute for Stroke and Applied Neurosciences
  • Imperial College London
  • Wageningen University & Research
  • Agence de Médecine Préventive
  • Monash University
  • Melbourne Health
  • Tokyo Women's Medical University
  • University of Bristol
  • University of Western Australia
  • Harry Perkins Institute of Medical Research
  • Western Australian Neuroscience Research Institute
  • International Foundation for Dermatology
  • King's College London
  • Cedar Asso.
  • Stanford University
  • Albert Einstein College of Medicine
  • Central South University
  • George Mason University
  • Virginia Commonwealth University
  • Centre for Chronic Disease Control
  • Heidelberg University 
  • Helmholtz Centre for Infection Research
  • Northeastern University
  • Soonchunhyang University
  • National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center
  • University of Montreal
  • Hacettepe University
  • Uppsala University
  • Nova Southeastern University
  • SUNY Albany
  • Genentech, Inc
  • Wayne State University
  • Children's Hospital of Michigan
  • Melbourne School of Population and Global Health
  • Liverpool University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust
  • University of Liverpool
  • Swansea University
  • Tehran University of Medical Sciences
  • Ministry of Public Health
  • University of York
  • Adelaide University
  • Saudi Ministry of Health
  • Alfaisal University
  • United Nations Population Fund
  • Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation
  • Curtin University
  • Harborview Injury Prevention and Research Center
  • Charité Universitätsmedizin
  • Deakin University
  • Kyung Hee University
  • Center for Healthy Start Initiative
  • Kosin University
  • Universidad de Cartagena
  • University of Calgary
  • University of Melbourne
  • University of Porto
  • IRCCS Istituto di ricerche farmacologiche Mario Negri - Milano, Bergamo, Ranica
  • University of British Columbia
  • Azienda Ospedaliera Papa Giovanni XXIII
  • Mid Sweden University
  • Barcelona Institute for Global Health
  • Ulm University
  • Women and Children's Hospital of Buffalo
  • SUNY Buffalo
  • Case Western Reserve University
  • Rosalind Franklin University of Medicine and Science
  • University of Alabama at Birmingham
  • An-Najah National University
  • Finnish Institute of Occupational Health
  • Tampere University
  • Northumbria University
  • University of Edinburgh
  • Columbia University
  • University of Cape Town
  • University of Groningen
  • Bahar Dar University
  • International Medical University
  • South African Medical Research Council
  • Norwegian University of Science and Technology
  • St Olavs Hospital
  • University of California, Irvine
  • University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
  • University of Virginia
  • Cleveland Clinic Foundation
  • King Fahad Medical City
  • Adaptive Knowledge Management
  • WorldFish
  • Le Bonheur Children's Medical Center
  • University of Tennessee Health Science Center
  • St. Jude Children Research Hospital
  • Federal Teaching Hospital
  • UKK Institute
  • Raffles Hospital, Singapore
  • Higher School of Economics
  • Norwegian Institute of Public Health
  • University of Bergen
  • Karolinska Institutet
  • Cancer Registry of Norway Institute of Population-Based Cancer Research
  • University of Tromsø
  • Folkhalsan
  • Royal Children's Hospital Melbourne
  • Murdoch Children's Research Institute
  • Federal Institute for Population Research
  • Gondar University
  • Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust
  • Northwestern University
  • The University of Hong Kong
  • National Center of Neurology and Psychiatry Kodaira
  • Korea University College of Medicine
  • Jackson State University
  • Wuhan University
  • Mansoura University

Research output: Contribution to journalReview articlepeer-review

552 Scopus citations

Abstract

IMPORTANCE: The literature focuses on mortality among children younger than 5 years. Comparable information on nonfatal health outcomes among these children and the fatal and nonfatal burden of diseases and injuries among older children and adolescents is scarce. OBJECTIVE: To determine levels and trends in the fatal and nonfatal burden of diseases and injuries among younger children (aged < 5 years), older children (aged 5-9 years), and adolescents (aged 10-19 years) between 1990 and 2013 in 188 countries from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2013 study. EVIDENCE REVIEW: Data from vital registration, verbal autopsy studies, maternal and child death surveillance, and other sources covering 14 244 site-years (ie, years of cause of death data by geography) from 1980 through 2013 were used to estimate cause-specific mortality. Data from 35 620 epidemiological sources were used to estimate the prevalence of the diseases and sequelae in the GBD 2013 study. Cause-specific mortality for most causes was estimated using the Cause of Death Ensemble Model strategy. For some infectious diseases (eg, HIVinfection/AIDS, measles, hepatitis B) where the disease process is complex or the cause of death data were insufficient or unavailable, we used natural history models. For most nonfatal health outcomes, DisMod-MR2.0, a Bayesian metaregression tool, was used to meta-analyze the epidemiological data to generate prevalence estimates. FINDINGS: Of the 7.7 (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 7.4-8.1) million deaths among children and adolescents globally in 2013,6.28 million occurred amongyounger children, 0.48 million among older children, and 0.97 million among adolescents. In 2013, the leading causes of death were lower respiratory tract infections amongyounger children (905 059 deaths; 95% UI, 810 304-998125), diarrheal diseases among older children (38 325 deaths; 95% UI, 30 365-47 678), and road injuries among adolescents (115186 deaths; 95% UI, 105185-124 870). Iron deficiency anemia was the leading cause of years lived with disability among children and adolescents, affecting 619 (95% UI, 618-621) million in 2013. Large between-country variations exist in mortality from leading causes among children and adolescents. Countries with rapid declines in all-cause mortality between 1990 and 2013 also experienced large declines in most leading causes of death, whereas countries with the slowest declines had stagnant or increasing trends in the leading causes of death. In 2013, Nigeria had a 12% global share of deaths from lower respiratory tract infections and a 38% global share of deaths from malaria. India had 33% of the world's deaths from neonatal encephalopathy. Half of the world's diarrheal deaths among children and adolescents occurred injust 5 countries: India, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Pakistan, Nigeria, and Ethiopia. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Understanding the levels and trends of the leading causes of death and disability among children and adolescents is critical to guide investment and inform policies. Monitoring these trends over time is also key to understanding where interventions are having an impact. Proven interventions exist to prevent or treat the leading causes of unnecessary death and disability among children and adolescents. The findings presented here show that these are underused and give guidance to policy makers in countries where more attention is needed.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)267-287
Number of pages21
JournalJAMA Pediatrics
Volume170
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - Mar 2016

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

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